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Jibber Jabber Tips

JIBBER JABBER
Updated: 9 July 2021 10:00 am

3:50 YORK

1m2f | William Hill Plus Bet Club Handicap (Class 4) | Good to Soft (at the time of writing)

For this week’s tip I’ve gone to York, for a 13-runner race where one horse has a lot of promise. It’s early on in the career of this gelding, but he has bags of potential and it’s highly likely that he’ll be given a truer run race than he has contested recently. He also looks on a good mark so hopefully he gives us a good run for our each way money.

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SELECTION

CARTER COWBOY (EW)

This Richard Fahey trained three-year-old gelding cost 78,000 GNS as a yearling. He has shaped like a horse with considerable potential since being sent handicapping and stepped up to today's 1m2f trip on his last two starts. On both occasions, he hasn't looked the finished article, racing freely and refusing to settle, but that will come with experience, and he may not have been helped by the two races being run at too slow a pace. Hopefully, that won't happen in this 13-runner field where he is more likely to get a stronger pace to aim at.

Last time out he finished 3.25 lengths 4th of eight. The form of that race has worked out particularly well with the winner going in again on the next two occasions, including off 10lb higher just two days ago (Wednesday), with the 3rd placed horse also winning on his next start. Here, CARTER COWBOY is up in Class today but has kindly been dropped 1lb for what was a good run last time. The in-form Kieran O'Neill (whose strikerate over the last 14 days reads: 5-29,17%) is an excellent first-time booking and he will be fully-fit on his fourth start of the campaign. He also gets in here off bottom-weight (carrying just eight stone) in receipt of between 17lb & 24lb from his three main rivals at the head of the market. There could easily be more to come from him on just his sixth start ever, so he looks well-worth each way interest.

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MAIN DANGER

WAR LEADER

This ex-Aidan O'Brien trained four-year-old colt has really started to find his form having very easily won his last two handicaps. They were both over today's 1m2f trip and, although he has been raised 11lb in the weights, he won both so impressively, that his new mark of 81 may not yet be the ceiling of his potential. Conditions look fine, the Jane Chappie-Hyam yard is going through a good spell (last 14 days: 3-10, 30%), and he could be a danger to all if continuing on his recent upward trend.

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