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Jibber Jabber Tips

JIBBER JABBER
Updated: 9 September 2021 10:00 am

1:30 CHEPSTOW

1m | Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap (IRE Incentive Race) (Class 6)| Good to Firm (at the time of writing)

It’s slim pickings out there today but I do think that this two-year-old has been under-estimated by the handicapper somewhat, and that there’s something to be taken advantage of. Good luck to those getting on.

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SELECTION

MY AMBITION (EW), 0.5 points

This Denis Coakley-trained colt cost £35,000 at the Breeze-ups back in April and looks worth an interest. He’s now making his handicap debut off a workable looking mark of 62 in a low grade Class 6 handicap on just his fourth start.

Of his three runs to date, it is his performance on his second start that interests me most where he finished 4th of nine, 8.5 lengths behind two nice types that are now officially rated 100 and 94, respectively. His proximity to them that day would suggest he could be under-rated by an opening mark of just 62, especially with first-time booking George Bass taking a useful further 5lb off his back.

MY AMBITION also steps up significantly in trip to a mile today after three runs at 6f and while his pedigree doesn't strongly suggest he will be suited by this trip it is my opinion his Sire, Galileo Gold, hasn't produced a large enough progeny sample for this to yet be conclusive. Plus, the selection's half-brother (Nasim) won over a mile as a two-year-old at Lingfield just 19-days ago.

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MAIN DANGER

TWISTALINE

Looks likely to go off favourite here having progressed in her last three starts (RPR's 42, 48, & 52). She went close in her last two handicaps finishing 1.5 lengths 3rd of nine over 7f at Kempton, before only going down by a head when stepped up to today's mile for the first time on similar fast ground at Brighton 17 days ago. She has been nudged up 2lb but the Rod Milman yard are in form (Last 14 days: 2-9, 22%) and Kieran O'Neill is a good booking. The yard won this last year and she looks highly likely to be involved in the finish but I'm hopeful she will find the selection that little bit too good.

HOW BETTING POINTS WORK IN HORSE RACING

The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.

If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.

Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.

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