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Jibber Jabber Tips

JIBBER JABBER
Updated: 3 September 2021 10:00 am

4:45 ASCOT

7f | War Horse Memorial Handicap (Class 4) | Good (at the time of writing)

There a few that I like today but it’s this three-year-old running as Ascot this afternoon who I think has the best chance of being first past the post, thanks to some impressive recent performances and ground that will suit. Good luck to those getting on.

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SELECTION

NORTHERN EXPRESS (EW), 0.5 points

I have gone for this Michael Dods-trained three-year-old gelding as I was impressed by his win at York two starts back. There he produced a breath-taking turn of foot inside the final half furlong to run down a progressive William Haggas-trained favourite (and subsequent winner off 2lb higher - Pagan) to win going away by 1.75 lengths.

He improved on that occasion for the introduction of hold-up tactics and the first-time booking of Jamie Spencer today would suggest connections are going to revert to using them again. He was raised 7lb for that win, but it was so emphatic this progressive horse looks capable of going in again off his new mark. The return to fast ground will help after he was beaten in a tactical three-runner race on unsuitable heavy going last time.

This is a typically competitive Ascot handicap but NORTHERN EXPRESS looks worth a 0.5 points each way bet in this 8-runner affair. Let's hope we have no non-runners.

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MAIN DANGER

PAPACITO

Unbeaten in two starts to date with likely more to come, this Roger Varian trained 140,000 GNS purchase will probably go off favourite and is likely to be a danger to all. However, he doesn't look particularly well treated on what he has achieved so far making his handicap debut off a mark of 86 so, at the prices, I would prefer to be on the selection.

HOW BETTING POINTS WORK IN HORSE RACING

The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.

If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.

Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.

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