This three-year-old looks a very safe each way bet and it will be a surprise if she finishes outside the first three. I have little doubt she has the ability to win a Class 6 race of this nature off her current mark of 61 so let's hope the win comes today.
This filly is an 11-race maiden but I don't think there is anything wrong with her attitude as she has been running consistently well in defeat against some well-handicapped subsequent winners, all while falling steadily down the weights herself.
She was sent off at 7/1 in a similar but slightly harder 10-runner race than this (0-65 as opposed to today's 0-60) over C&D 24 days ago. There she had little luck in running, being carried left between the 2f to 1f pole and losing her momentum before having to switch right and running on again to finish 3.5 lengths back in 6th. She would have finished much closer with a clear run – she’s been dropped another 1lb for that – and has now steadily dropped 11lb down the weights since being given her initial handicap mark last October. I also think this 7.5f trip looks ideal as she hasn't quite got home over a mile a few times. She is fine on Good ground with drying conditions forecast, the application of first-time cheek-pieces could spark some improvement, and Luke Morris is a good first-time booking. Her draw in stall 10 could have been kinder but there is no major draw bias advantage and she has the pace to take up a good position early. LUXY LOU looks a very safe bet to finish in the first three and will hopefully get her head in front for the first time today. I would recommend 0.5 points each way if you can get on at around 5/1-6/1.
This Mark Johnston trained three-year-old filly is 5/2 as I write this and will highly likely go off favourite. She showed a return to form last time when finishing a short-head 2nd of 7 over 7f at Musselburgh just a week ago, running to a Racing Post Rating of 65 in the process. However, prior to that she had been in very poor form running to ratings of 31, 38, 34, 16, & 43 in five starts since April and having dropped 18lb down the weights since last September to a mark of just 57. She is potentially very well-handicapped 11lb below her last winning mark, but now has to show she can back up last week's run. I'm hoping she will fail to do so and prove vulnerable to the selection.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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