It’s off to the brilliant York Ebor Festival for this week’s tip, where I think this two-year-old colt will be bucking the key trends if he wins. He would be only the third horse his age to win the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes in the past 30 years, but he is receiving ridiculous amounts of weight from his older rivals so he looks worth chancing at a price.
CHIPOTLE was impressive when winning a Listed race at Ascot over this 5f trip on similar fast ground to today three starts back. He also has had excuses the last two occasions (repeatedly denied a clear run, unsuitable Soft ground). First-time cheek-pieces have been applied "to help him travel early on", he is well-drawn in stall 10, Hollie Doyle is an excellent first-time booking, and with the drying conditions at the track in his favour he could easily resume his progress today.
This is an ultra-competitive 15-runner sprint, but the selection looks worth an each way interest off bottom-weight in receipt of between 19lb & 24lb from his older counterparts. Extra place insurance is always a smart move in these big-field races so the offer from Skybet, who are paying five places instead of four, looks the way to go. I would recommend betting 0.5 points each way at likely high double-figure odds.
This American raider will likely go off favourite so won't represent much in the way of value but could be a danger to all with the Wesley Ward yard in hot form (Last 14 days: 3-9, 33% strike rate). He comes here off a Grade 3 win at Saratoga five weeks ago and has plenty going for him as he will be suited by the fast track, the application of first-time cheek-pieces could spark improvement, and legend Frankie Dettori takes over in the saddle for the first time.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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