A typically competitive looking 0-100 race, but I always like my Southern raiders, as they tend to be better treated when racing up North.
This looked a really good horse after being switched from Chris Grant to the Olly Murphy yard based on the seasonal strike rate (7% vs 17%). I think he was really unlucky not to go a lot closer than the 1.5l 3rd at Uttoxeter, as he jumped into the back of the winner, a horse who has won his next two starts (one on the flat) and is now 17lb higher rated.
The selection disappointed three weeks later when running at a right-handed track in Market Rasen. I think there is a good reason why he's never won going right-handed as he hangs to his left, so I'm ready to forgive one bad run, as I'm sure there is a race in this 9-year-old gelding from the bottom mark.
Sean Bowen takes over this time, and I think this is such a big positive from the previous conditional jockey as the horse really isn't an easy ride. Sean rarely leaves empty handed when riding here and has an incredible 41% strike rate, with 9 winners from 22 rides.
We know what the rest of the field are capable of, but this one did show ability on his first run in a bumper, splitting horses rated between 102 and 116, so he really should be doing something off a mark of just 85 on just his second start in a handicap.
The fact that Hughes is booked for the first time, and he's at 24% for the yard so far this season, I would strongly suggest giving this a go if there is any support for him.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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