I’ve gone for a horse who runs off what looks a laughable handicap mark of just 104.
He didn't really go on from the initial promise shown in bumper races over hurdles last season, despite looking well handicapped. Encouragingly, he did place three times from his six runs over hurdles. Perhaps the switch in code and drop down to class 5 company today (won his only run in this company) can see him perform better off what looks a laughable handicap mark (104).
Sire (Yeats) has a much better strike rate with his chase runners rather than hurdle runners, so the switch to the larger obstacles should suit him, given he’s bred for chasing. He won his bumper over this trip, on this type of ground (good), smashing a now 120 rated opponent (Wbee) by 7L. He gave 10lbs in weight to the 2nd horse too. The drop in trip today is sure to suit.
The trainer doesn't send many chase runners here at all, but his horses have had three wins and two places from six outings over the last five seasons. Overall, they boast a solid 23% win rate with all of their runners here (21-91). This is the yards only runner at this meeting today.
The danger here is likely to come from Judex Lefou who looks absolutely thrown in off his handicap mark on chase debut. He is being judged off his form shown for his previous yard when trained in Ireland where he had some pretty decent form.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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