I’ve gone for a horse that has won three times at this course and is wearing cheek pieces again for the first time since his last win.
This horse doesn’t exactly jump off the page as one who looks very well handicapped running off a mark of 100, having been dropped just 1lb for his last run. Encouragingly he drops down in grade this time (Class 5) and is running back at his favourite venue. His form figures over this course and distance (CD) read 3,1,2 from his three runs.
Today will be his second run back from a break - and he also won on his second outing after an absence earlier on this year - so we can ignore the below par reappearance run and expect a better outing here today.
Jockey Ross Chapman remains loyal to this fella, having been onboard for all three of his wins over hurdles. Ross has ridden five winners from 26 rides for this yard. Trainer Daragh Bourke also sports a healthy 25%-win rate with his runners at this course (3-12). And if you concentrate on the handicap hurdle runners solely, he has sent out three winners and two places from just nine runners at this course with a level stakes profit of +12.75.
The cheekpieces go back on today and that’s encouraging to see given he won sporting the same piece of kit at Kelso this time last year.
Will likely be amongst the market leaders for this race. Given he’s been in fine form on his last three runs (form figures 1,1,3), you could say he’s still not handicapped out of contention. He has won off a 9lb higher mark than this. Admittedly that was back in September 2018. If turning up in similar form today, he would be the main danger to Old Jewry.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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